In-depth analytics, AI-driven forecasts, and a spotlight on AMD—one of the global leading semiconductor companies.
The stock data for AMD is collected using the Yahoo Finance Python library, covering a one-year period up to the present.
Technical indicators employed in this analysis include the 20-day and 50-day simple and exponential moving averages, RSI, and Bollinger Bands, offering insights into both short-term and medium-term market behavior.
Apply simple linear regression for stock price prediction.
Make some final observations and recommendations based on the analysis conducted.
The interactive candlestick chart offers detailed price action analysis for AMD throughout the most recent year. Users can explore various timeframes and observe the relationship between price movements and trading volume. The chart features range selectors for focused analysis and showcases the stock's progression from $80 to over $180, highlighting key support and resistance levels, breakout patterns, and volume confirmation signals.
Based on the AMD stock closing price chart from July 2024 to July 2025, the stock price experienced significant volatility. It peaked at around 180 USD in July 2024, then gradually declined to a low of about 80 USD around March 2025, before showing a slight recovery by July 2025. The overall trend indicates a decline in value during the mid-period, with a recent recovery sign.
Looking at the AMD stock trading volume chart from July 2024 to July 2025, the volume fluctuates significantly, with peaks reaching around 100 million shares in July 2024, November 2024, and May 2025. The average volume ranges from 20 to 60 million shares, accompanied by a slight upward trend toward the end of the period. High trading activity often aligns with price movements, reflecting strong investor attention during those times.
From July 2024 to July 2025, the closing price peaked at around 180 USD in July 2024, then dropped sharply to a low of about 80 USD around March 2025, with a slight recovery by July 2025. The 20-day moving average (yellow) responds quickly to price changes, while the 50-day moving average (red) indicates a long-term downward trend. The crossover of the two moving averages may signal reversal points, with the gap between them narrowing toward the end, suggesting potential stability.
The daily returns analysis highlights distinct volatility patterns for AMD stock from July 2024 to July 2025. The daily returns peaked at around 0.25 in early 2025, indicating significant upward spikes, while also dipping to -0.10 during periods of decline, reflecting notable downturns. The histogram of daily returns shows a concentration around the zero mark, with the highest frequency near 0.00, suggesting a typical range of small fluctuations. This volatility analysis provides the foundation for assessing risk and identifying potential trading opportunities.
The Bollinger Bands analysis reveals distinct volatility patterns for AMD stock from July 2024 to July 2025. The closing price peaked near 200 USD in mid-2024, then declined to a low around 80 USD by early 2025, with a slight recovery toward the end. The upper and lower Bollinger Bands, reflecting volatility, widened during periods of sharp price movements and narrowed during consolidation phases. This analysis provides the foundation for identifying overbought or oversold conditions and potential breakout opportunities.
The recent Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis of AMD for June 2025 reveals a significant upward trajectory, with the RSI approaching the 70 threshold, indicative of potential overbought conditions. This suggests a robust buying momentum in the stock. However, the proximity to the 70 level raises concerns about an impending reversal or correction if the overbought state is confirmed. It is academically prudent to recommend additional monitoring over the next few days to assess the sustainability of the current trend before making an informed investment decision.
The correlation analysis between Close, SMA20, EMA20, RSI, and Daily Return reveals significant relationships for AMD stock. The Close price exhibits a strong positive correlation with SMA20 (0.911) and EMA20 (0.939), indicating consistent alignment with these moving averages. RSI shows a moderate positive correlation with Close (0.162) and a strong positive correlation with itself (1.000), while displaying a negative correlation with SMA20 (-0.217) and EMA20 (-0.141). Daily Return has a weak positive correlation with Close (0.060) and RSI (0.210), but a negative correlation with SMA20 (-0.085) and EMA20 (-0.082). This analysis provides the foundation for understanding price trends and momentum shifts.
AMD is the high performance and adaptive computing leader, powering the products and services that help solve the world's most important challenges. Our technologies advance the future of the data center, embedded, gaming and PC markets. Founded in 1969 as a Silicon Valley start-up, the AMD journey began with dozens of employees who were passionate about creating leading-edge semiconductor products. AMD has grown into a global company setting the standard for modern computing, with many important industry firsts and major technological achievements along the way. The company's cutting-edge process technologies and robust manufacturing expertise position it as a vital component of the global tech ecosystem.
High performance and adaptive computing is transforming our lives.
Build great products that accelerate next-generation computing experiences.
AMD's commitment to innovation and performance has positioned it as a leader in the semiconductor industry. The company's advanced manufacturing processes, robust product portfolio, and strategic partnerships enable it to deliver high-performance computing solutions that meet the evolving needs of consumers and enterprises alike. AMD's focus on energy efficiency, scalability, and cutting-edge technology ensures that its products remain at the forefront of the industry.
| Ticker | FA Score | TA Score | Total Score | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | Neutral |
| INTC | 0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | Neutral |
| NVDA | 2 | 2.5 | 4.5 | Consider |
| QCOM | 3 | 2.5 | 5.5 | Buy |
The stock evaluation summary combines fundamental analysis (FA) and technical analysis (TA) scores to provide an overall investment rating. AMD, with a total score of 2.5, is rated as "Neutral," indicating a balanced outlook based on its technical performance. Therefore, it is recommended to hold the stock for now.
Linear regression is a fundamental statistical technique used to model the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In the context of stock price prediction, linear regression can help identify trends and make forecasts based on historical price data.
Over a 5-year period, AMD's stock price has shown significant growth, starting from around 55 USD in 2020 and is now at approximately 130 USD in 2025.
Based on the 30-day stock price prediction chart for AMD (from July 6, 2025, to August 5, 2025) and the model validation chart from 2021 to 2025, here are some insights into investment potential:
The predicted price fluctuates between 121-123.5 USD, with a slight upward trend toward the end, peaking at around 123.5 USD. This suggests short-term growth potential, especially if the upward trend continues.
The prediction model (based on 20% test data) shows a strong alignment with actual prices (red test data) in 2025 indicating high accuracy. The training data (80%) from 2020-2024 also reflects the model's ability to capture long-term trends, rising from 60 USD to over 200 USD before adjusting downward in 2025.
The upward signal in the 30-day forecast suggests a buying opportunity if the current price is near the lower range (around 121 USD). However, caution is advised due to past volatility (price dropped from 200 USD to below 100 USD in 2025), and investors should monitor market factors like financial reports or industry news to confirm the trend. Consider taking profits if the price reaches 123-124 USD to optimize short-term gains.
In summary, AMD shows positive short-term investment potential based on the prediction, but risk management is essential given historical volatility and market conditions.
Based on linear regression analysis and fundamental evaluation, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) demonstrates notable investment potential within the semiconductor sector. Its growth trajectory and market competitiveness suggest promising opportunities. Nevertheless, investors should conduct further due diligence to evaluate potential risks and market volatility before making any investment decisions.
AMD operates in a highly dynamic segment of the semiconductor industry, where performance leadership and rapid innovation are key differentiators. While the company has made impressive strides in high-performance computing and data center markets, its long-term competitiveness will depend on maintaining technological momentum and efficient scaling. The transition to AI-centric workloads presents both an opportunity and a challenge, requiring continuous investment in specialized hardware and software optimization.
From a strategic perspective, AMD’s asset-light model and reliance on third-party foundries allow for operational flexibility but may expose it to supply chain risks, especially during periods of global capacity constraints. Furthermore, increasing competition from both established rivals and new entrants in the AI and GPU markets could pressure margins and market share. While AMD's growth trajectory remains promising, a balanced view that considers execution risks and industry shifts is essential for making informed investment decisions.
Risk: AMD relies on third-party manufacturers for the production of its semiconductors, which exposes it to potential supply chain disruptions and production delays.
Mitigation: The company mitigates this risk through strategic supplier relationships, proactive capacity planning, and diversified sourcing strategies.
Risk: Rapid changes in computing paradigms and emerging technologies may render existing products less competitive or obsolete.
Mitigation: AMD commits significant resources to research and development, with a focus on next-generation computing, power efficiency, and platform-level integration.
Risk: Ongoing geopolitical tensions between the United States and China may lead to trade restrictions, regulatory hurdles, or reduced access to key markets and components. These factors could impact AMD's global operations, supply chain logistics, and revenue streams, particularly in Asia.
Mitigation: AMD actively monitors regulatory developments, maintains compliance with international trade policies, and diversifies its customer base and revenue exposure across multiple regions to reduce geopolitical concentration risk.
Risk: AMD operates in a highly competitive environment, facing strong rivals in both the CPU and GPU markets, as well as growing competition from companies developing custom and in-house chips, particularly in AI and cloud computing. This competitive intensity can lead to pricing pressures, shorter product life cycles, and potential loss of market share.
Mitigation: AMD counters these challenges through continuous innovation in chip design, focus on performance-per-watt efficiency, and expansion into high-growth segments like AI, data centers, and custom semi solutions. Long-term partnerships and a robust product roadmap further reinforce its market positioning.
Based on the provided charts, we can analyze AMD's financial performance compared to Intel, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm from July 2024 to July 2025:
Closing Price: AMD shows a downward trend, dropping from a high of around 180 in July 2024 to below 100 by July 2025, indicating strong selling pressure. Intel (INTC) also declined from about 35 to below 20, reflecting a similar trend. NVIDIA (NVDA) maintained an upward trend from 110 to around 150 by mid-2025, followed by a slight decline, showing superior strength. Qualcomm (QCOM) decreased from 220 to around 140, also facing downward pressure but remaining higher than AMD.
Trading Volume: AMD's trading volume fluctuates between 0.2 and 1.0 (10^8), with peaks in July 2024 and May 2025, indicating significant interest during volatile periods. Intel and Qualcomm have higher trading volumes, ranging from 0.5 to 3.0 (10^8), with similar spikes. NVIDIA has a lower volume, from 2 to 8 (10^8), but remains stable, reflecting investor confidence.
Moving Averages (SMA20, SMA50, EMA20, EMA50): For AMD, both SMA20 and SMA50 are declining, indicating a long-term downward trend, with EMA20 and EMA50 crossing below the price and increasing, traders is advisable to exercise caution and conduct further analysis before making any investment decisions, given the current market dynamics. Intel follows a similar pattern, with moving averages crossing below the price, showing downward pressure. NVIDIA's SMA20 and SMA50 are rising, supporting an upward trend, while EMA20 and EMA50 indicate greater stability. Qualcomm's moving averages cross below the price, but the decline is slower than AMD's.
Daily Return: AMD exhibits significant volatility, with peaks of 0.25 and dips to -0.15, indicating high risk. Intel and Qualcomm show similar volatility, though Qualcomm has a higher peak (0.15). NVIDIA has more stable fluctuations, with a peak around 0.20, suggesting lower risk.
Daily Return Distribution (Histogram): AMD, Intel, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm all have daily return distributions centered around 0, but AMD has a longer negative tail, indicating higher downside risk.
Conclusion: AMD is currently under downward pressure similar to Intel and Qualcomm but lags behind NVIDIA in growth trends. Its trading volume and daily return volatility suggest instability, so caution is advised when investing. For more certainty, the next step will use a basic AI model to forecast prices.